Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.220346 0.250456 0.282716 0.319797 0.361187 0.405910 0.457836
2025-10-26 0.181385 0.221912 0.268181 0.324720 0.391740 0.468432 0.562612
2025-11-02 0.155274 0.202446 0.259319 0.332515 0.423753 0.533226 0.673966
2025-11-09 0.131190 0.181264 0.244690 0.330202 0.441646 0.581036 0.767512
2025-11-16 0.112907 0.164508 0.232868 0.328965 0.459276 0.628352 0.862559
2025-11-23 0.098149 0.150232 0.222152 0.327197 0.474861 0.672876 0.955835
2025-11-30 0.088836 0.142202 0.218701 0.334327 0.502147 0.733830 1.074040
2025-12-07 0.079061 0.132149 0.211036 0.334233 0.518537 0.780030 1.173918
2025-12-14 0.070804 0.123320 0.204060 0.334083 0.534172 0.825354 1.274386
2025-12-21 0.063893 0.115742 0.198072 0.334554 0.550217 0.871562 1.378014
2025-12-28 0.058934 0.110748 0.195534 0.339901 0.573635 0.929503 1.501571
2026-01-04 0.055206 0.107388 0.195214 0.348534 0.602418 0.996727 1.642203
2026-01-11 0.050565 0.102048 0.191328 0.351342 0.622647 1.052850 1.770508
2026-01-18 0.047253 0.098742 0.190577 0.359271 0.651651 1.124266 1.926517
2026-01-25 0.044571 0.096297 0.191065 0.369264 0.684596 1.203606 2.099094
2026-02-01 0.040502 0.090672 0.185248 0.367524 0.697179 1.250106 2.220443
2026-02-08 0.036985 0.085723 0.180176 0.366604 0.710904 1.298921 2.347667
2026-02-15 0.033749 0.080954 0.174963 0.364897 0.722908 1.345152 2.472441
2026-02-22 0.031917 0.078952 0.174928 0.372898 0.752850 1.423499 2.655272
2026-03-01 0.029408 0.075159 0.170944 0.372869 0.767797 1.476177 2.795930
2026-03-08 0.027131 0.071607 0.167101 0.372745 0.782401 1.528743 2.938502
2026-03-15 0.025125 0.068437 0.163749 0.373288 0.798179 1.583980 3.088030
2026-03-22 0.023744 0.066595 0.163060 0.379199 0.824655 1.659844 3.277761